{"id":328,"date":"2025-10-07T17:55:31","date_gmt":"2025-10-07T17:55:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/?p=328"},"modified":"2025-10-13T20:22:05","modified_gmt":"2025-10-13T20:22:05","slug":"brownian-motion-and-martingales-and-their-relations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/uncategorized\/brownian-motion-and-martingales-and-their-relations\/","title":{"rendered":"Brownian motion and martingales and their relations"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Brownian motion<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Brownian motion is defined as a stochastic process <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-f226acc0f6ff1cb43ef99e93e95519f2_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#123;&#88;&#95;&#116;&#92;&#125;&#95;&#123;&#116;&#32;&#92;&#103;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#48;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"60\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> which is Gaussian, i.e. such that for any <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-4c6fe5519100e6342ad6ce1a7a0cd01b_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#48;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#116;&#95;&#48;&#32;&#60;&#32;&#116;&#95;&#49;&#32;&#60;&#32;&#92;&#99;&#100;&#111;&#116;&#115;&#32;&#60;&#32;&#116;&#95;&#110;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"166\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/>, <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-7cb53e92090e470c8a60e9b3d54af0d8_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#88;&#95;&#123;&#116;&#95;&#106;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"25\" style=\"vertical-align: -7px;\"\/> for <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-980959dcb9f285fc41fbc1fc67c0ea45_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#106;&#32;&#61;&#32;&#48;&#44;&#32;&#49;&#44;&#32;&#92;&#99;&#100;&#111;&#116;&#115;&#44;&#32;&#110;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"16\" width=\"112\" style=\"vertical-align: -4px;\"\/> have a jointly Gaussian (normal distribution), <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-286cbf66dde4b629216fe81dca74c122_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#98;&#98;&#123;&#69;&#125;&#88;&#95;&#116;&#32;&#61;&#32;&#48;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"65\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> for all <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-fd9cb27edab3f0a8a249bc80cc9c6ee2_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#116;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"12\" width=\"6\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/>, and the covariance is <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-7a87fba94ef0d682be0b14b515755bba_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#98;&#98;&#123;&#69;&#125;&#88;&#95;&#115;&#88;&#95;&#116;&#32;&#61;&#32;&#92;&#109;&#105;&#110;&#40;&#115;&#44;&#116;&#41;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"142\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> for all <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-9577a1a167945cc165e12ede73982af2_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#115;&#44;&#32;&#116;&#32;&#32;&#92;&#103;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#48;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"16\" width=\"55\" style=\"vertical-align: -4px;\"\/>. A normal distribution is uniquely determined by its mean vector <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-05d9eae892416bd34247a25207f8b718_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#109;&#117;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"12\" width=\"11\" style=\"vertical-align: -4px;\"\/> and covariance matrix <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-ed12970f60569db1dfd9f13289854a0d_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#67;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"12\" width=\"14\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/>. Each <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-e797e63ac1b75efce6dd953fda2f66d5_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#88;&#95;&#116;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"20\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> has a normal distribution <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-75730a128568834f3ab5d76f25562ab0_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#99;&#97;&#108;&#123;&#78;&#125;&#40;&#48;&#44;&#32;&#116;&#41;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"54\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/q0391u3l95mwks7i9lhda\/brownianmotionsharedpaths.png?rlkey=mbha13fyvsehuxiv4hhtvjon6&amp;raw=1\" alt=\"\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Brownian motion &#8211; multiple sample paths from t = 0 to t = 5. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/ktnx3jkxku3whmorjexkp\/densityt25.png?rlkey=288y4esuxz0ptmexgrsenart0&amp;raw=1\" alt=\"\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Density at t = 2.5. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>It follows from the definition that Brownian motion has <em>independent increments<\/em>, in other words whenever <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-d5fa7e52dc92019b266234b66fcfd26d_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#48;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#115;&#32;&#60;&#32;&#116;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#117;&#32;&#60;&#32;&#118;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"137\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/>, <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-2cdf11ed37faeca8164badb073c64c15_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#88;&#95;&#116;&#32;&#45;&#32;&#88;&#95;&#115;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"63\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> and <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-a603a6b2468732ff923a547eb91d8964_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#88;&#95;&#118;&#32;&#45;&#32;&#88;&#95;&#117;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"67\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> are independent. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/kik3tu16x3fcekbdxs9hk\/output.png?rlkey=dw80wyee9xcn0oudk1z051tfy&amp;raw=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>A consequence of the definition is that for any <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-d57ea6f8da5fcabcd914e482c622489e_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#99;&#32;&#62;&#32;&#48;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"14\" width=\"40\" style=\"vertical-align: -2px;\"\/>, the process <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-4e0cd350796def70e52720c4637ca3ee_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#88;&#95;&#123;&#99;&#94;&#50;&#116;&#125;&#47;&#32;&#99;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"50\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> is also a Brownian motion. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/24rkhagpyrwk93skisyjy\/scaling.png?rlkey=2vr5n7c05ui480ri49yc1tahs&amp;raw=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>By a therorem of Norbert Wiener, Brownian motion can be chosen such that with probability 1 (or for all <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-d4b432605ef5750fdc8e364f5bc8beea_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#119;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"8\" width=\"13\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/>), <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-69705947fd4b5bd7cbfb935ea6a146d4_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#88;&#95;&#116;&#40;&#119;&#41;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"47\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> is continuous as a function of <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-fd9cb27edab3f0a8a249bc80cc9c6ee2_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#116;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"12\" width=\"6\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/>. a Brownian motion with this property is called the <em>standard <\/em> Brownian motion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/tdapyqhn1vhb3aurg9ofr\/sbm.png?rlkey=vscsdkuz29qrlxccq052pdv79&amp;raw=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/qz8ejcru5sru5yyvdwtr9\/deltat.png?rlkey=e09xfd0485cmvwdfoj3d3vdvx&amp;raw=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>A <em>Markov time <\/em><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-2d0f4e922bf6aa03f0b4a3128b5a72d5_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"8\" width=\"10\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/> for Brownian motion is defined as a random variable <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-89c87e446ab21e1a00f92dfe2a7e8616_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;&#32;&#92;&#103;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#48;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"42\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> such that for each <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-201fd7f2c59c9748f1dc75af799b14ff_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#116;&#32;&#62;&#32;&#48;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"14\" width=\"39\" style=\"vertical-align: -2px;\"\/>, the event <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-4b38fe824843e2fa9a1c1f3d8149f5ed_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#123;&#32;&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;&#32;&#60;&#32;&#116;&#92;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"55\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> is a function of <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-7a3222e83fd943ee7565abd37f0ee25c_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#88;&#95;&#115;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"21\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> for <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-84757cb8e9988e7ebee94ed7c154c481_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#48;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#115;&#32;&#92;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#116;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"47\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <em>strong Markov property <\/em>of Brownian motion says that if <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-2d0f4e922bf6aa03f0b4a3128b5a72d5_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"8\" width=\"10\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/> is a Markov time such that <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-c2eeeddf9fa4551bd8e52f04356a8f83_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#123;&#80;&#125;&#40;&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;&#32;&#60;&#32;&#92;&#105;&#110;&#102;&#116;&#121;&#41;&#32;&#62;&#32;&#48;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"111\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/>, then conditional on <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-f942791ee49381d1d0003ddfad90f17e_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;&#32;&#60;&#32;&#92;&#105;&#110;&#102;&#116;&#121;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"12\" width=\"50\" style=\"vertical-align: -2px;\"\/>, the process <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-c0bfb0021c1ffc23a3c90a2fe592df92_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#86;&#95;&#123;&#116;&#125;&#32;&#92;&#100;&#101;&#102;&#32;&#88;&#95;&#123;&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;&#32;&#43;&#32;&#116;&#125;&#32;&#45;&#32;&#88;&#95;&#123;&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"61\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> for <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-51777787d840a1e65f2d269e1003254d_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#116;&#32;&#92;&#103;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#48;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"39\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> is itself a Brownian motion and is independent of <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-7a3222e83fd943ee7565abd37f0ee25c_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#88;&#95;&#115;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"21\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> for <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-4c38c4a17d4a1f3eb5624aef77dd9804_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#115;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"42\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Using the strong Markov property one can prove the <em><strong>r<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Reflection_principle_(Wiener_process)\">eflection principle<\/a><\/strong><\/em> for Brownian motion: for any <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-69acbe817fb28d01f1a21ab2c9f42500_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#98;&#32;&#62;&#32;&#48;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"14\" width=\"40\" style=\"vertical-align: -2px;\"\/> and <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-201fd7f2c59c9748f1dc75af799b14ff_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#116;&#32;&#62;&#32;&#48;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"14\" width=\"39\" style=\"vertical-align: -2px;\"\/>, the probability that <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-61646232528c0951450e99a97a07362c_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#88;&#95;&#115;&#32;&#92;&#103;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#98;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"53\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> for some <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-1edc883862ceed1a21913f60358e31d8_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#115;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"8\" width=\"8\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/> with <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-b336617757df723dcc17b23fe1032de4_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#48;&#32;&#60;&#32;&#115;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#116;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"70\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> equals <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-8a2368c218177d9c35250766fcd33fc4_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#50;&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#98;&#98;&#123;&#80;&#125;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#102;&#116;&#40;&#88;&#95;&#116;&#32;&#92;&#103;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#98;&#92;&#114;&#105;&#103;&#104;&#116;&#41;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"88\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/sodnqgibv403yk6sfyz0s\/rp.png?rlkey=56cp3nekq3u8ggrsw3llhk579&amp;st=a62pcpfk&amp;raw=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>What may be called <em>&#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Wald%27s_equation\">Wald&#8217;s identity<\/a>&#8220;<\/em> for Brownian motion says that if <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-2d0f4e922bf6aa03f0b4a3128b5a72d5_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"8\" width=\"10\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/> is a Markov time with <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-bfe5a45eb0121f640aa8efb6f8a281a9_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#98;&#98;&#123;&#69;&#125;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#102;&#116;&#91;&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;&#92;&#114;&#105;&#103;&#104;&#116;&#93;&#32;&#60;&#32;&#92;&#105;&#110;&#102;&#116;&#121;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"18\" width=\"75\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/>, and so <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-f942791ee49381d1d0003ddfad90f17e_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;&#32;&#60;&#32;&#92;&#105;&#110;&#102;&#116;&#121;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"12\" width=\"50\" style=\"vertical-align: -2px;\"\/> with probability 1, <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-ce1899ce1842cb976d6b436fd1ff6afc_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#98;&#98;&#123;&#69;&#125;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#102;&#116;&#91;&#88;&#95;&#123;&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;&#125;&#92;&#114;&#105;&#103;&#104;&#116;&#93;&#32;&#61;&#32;&#48;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"18\" width=\"80\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> and <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-d6a1ee252e1e8fd502486480adea93a1_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#98;&#98;&#123;&#69;&#125;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#102;&#116;&#91;&#88;&#95;&#123;&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;&#125;&#94;&#50;&#92;&#114;&#105;&#103;&#104;&#116;&#93;&#32;&#61;&#32;&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#98;&#98;&#123;&#69;&#125;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#102;&#116;&#91;&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;&#92;&#114;&#105;&#103;&#104;&#116;&#93;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"22\" width=\"109\" style=\"vertical-align: -7px;\"\/>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/m20xz70wkab8uzx0s2fcx\/waldidentity.png?rlkey=5d8atfql5vywag6qi8mcl5crr&amp;st=wbuc5dne&amp;raw=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The <em>Brownian Bridge <\/em>is a Gaussian process <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-fd998244fb882e37f93bcb07758b0313_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#89;&#95;&#116;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"15\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> defined for <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-1383f0a0dc6d6c56862c867aab5380f4_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#48;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#116;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#49;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"71\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> with <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-8577da8664c9377911cfe70f75e894d2_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#98;&#98;&#123;&#69;&#125;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#102;&#116;&#91;&#89;&#95;&#116;&#92;&#114;&#105;&#103;&#104;&#116;&#93;&#32;&#92;&#101;&#113;&#117;&#105;&#118;&#32;&#48;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"18\" width=\"73\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> and covariance <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-3b0afe476ea9b18bb17fab75f377e096_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#98;&#98;&#123;&#69;&#125;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#102;&#116;&#91;&#89;&#95;&#83;&#89;&#95;&#116;&#92;&#114;&#105;&#103;&#104;&#116;&#93;&#32;&#61;&#32;&#115;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#102;&#116;&#40;&#49;&#32;&#45;&#32;&#116;&#92;&#114;&#105;&#103;&#104;&#116;&#41;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"145\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> for <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-7a5808d7d4cb292a185215a5cefa173b_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#48;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#115;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#116;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#49;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"102\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/uz7fz5xy73nr8aihbad6e\/bbridge.png?rlkey=lqxlqj9fc4mvg4jfg0drgyi5c&amp;st=f5a4h30e&amp;raw=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The path starts and ends at 0 (a.s.).<br>The dashed curves plot the <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-ad82803d44a220e6622400cba9909aef_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#112;&#109;&#32;&#50;&#92;&#115;&#113;&#114;&#116;&#123;&#116;&#40;&#49;&#45;&#116;&#41;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"22\" width=\"98\" style=\"vertical-align: -6px;\"\/> band (two standard deviations), and the dotted line marks the zero mean.<br>Note that <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-c2c4086b9704b88180933bc3599738cf_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#89;&#95;&#48;&#61;&#89;&#95;&#49;&#61;&#48;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"92\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> a.s., and the fluctuations are largest near <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-b70a9b3b5334ab014f52a768e4a7d792_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#116;&#61;&#92;&#116;&#102;&#114;&#97;&#99;&#49;&#50;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"22\" width=\"39\" style=\"vertical-align: -6px;\"\/>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Relations between the Brownian motion and Brownian bridge:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>If <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-f226acc0f6ff1cb43ef99e93e95519f2_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#123;&#88;&#95;&#116;&#92;&#125;&#95;&#123;&#116;&#32;&#92;&#103;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#48;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"60\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> is a Brownian motion then <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-4883abbb41b4a7b6b396d254aaa5ac91_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#89;&#95;&#116;&#32;&#61;&#32;&#88;&#95;&#116;&#32;&#45;&#32;&#116;&#88;&#95;&#49;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"109\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> for <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-1383f0a0dc6d6c56862c867aab5380f4_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#48;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#116;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#49;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"71\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> is a Brownian bridge, which is independent of <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-f83a440506baac985bb87295a4dd948b_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#88;&#95;&#49;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"21\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/>. This shows that <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-fd998244fb882e37f93bcb07758b0313_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#89;&#95;&#116;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"15\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> also can (and will) be taken to be continuity as a function of <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-fd9cb27edab3f0a8a249bc80cc9c6ee2_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#116;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"12\" width=\"6\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/>. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Conversely, if <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-79950e2f2cabfe66d966c1b304311d21_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#123;&#89;&#95;&#116;&#92;&#125;&#95;&#123;&#48;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#116;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#49;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"73\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> is a Brownian bridge and <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-0be116875001706f29a24434bd0d91c9_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#90;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"12\" width=\"12\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/> is a <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-25fa29edb96736d8975c0757afe47fb5_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#99;&#97;&#108;&#123;&#78;&#125;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#102;&#116;&#40;&#48;&#44;&#32;&#49;&#92;&#114;&#105;&#103;&#104;&#116;&#41;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"60\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> variable independent of <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-79950e2f2cabfe66d966c1b304311d21_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#123;&#89;&#95;&#116;&#92;&#125;&#95;&#123;&#48;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#116;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#49;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"73\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> then <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-adbcc4e2e81885b150c03326dba96d21_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#89;&#95;&#116;&#32;&#32;&#43;&#32;&#116;&#32;&#90;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"57\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> has the distribution of Brownian motion for <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-1383f0a0dc6d6c56862c867aab5380f4_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#48;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#116;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#49;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"71\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/>. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The conditional distribution of <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-7e5637e9d8c7ddb71ff0136f6e4ba889_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#123;&#88;&#95;&#116;&#92;&#125;&#95;&#123;&#48;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#116;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#49;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"77\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> given that <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-855c496d7112c1ccf3c9da778e55e818_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#124;&#88;&#95;&#49;&#124;&#32;&#60;&#32;&#92;&#101;&#112;&#115;&#105;&#108;&#111;&#110;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"61\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> converges to that of <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-4a5fd9dd953aa2bff8f7957354ad49d3_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#123;&#89;&#95;&#116;&#92;&#125;&#95;&#123;&#48;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#116;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#49;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"73\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> as <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-68bb4b63c147f803d0a243b239359644_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#101;&#112;&#115;&#105;&#108;&#111;&#110;&#32;&#92;&#100;&#111;&#119;&#110;&#97;&#114;&#114;&#111;&#119;&#32;&#48;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"16\" width=\"35\" style=\"vertical-align: -4px;\"\/>. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-ae38616c8f8bff4cb12a7549b17d5166_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#123;&#89;&#95;&#116;&#92;&#125;&#95;&#123;&#48;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#116;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#49;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"57\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> is a Brownian bridge and <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-c9f1fb652a5531a9bdac9ca91513bda2_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#88;&#95;&#116;&#32;&#58;&#61;&#32;&#40;&#49;&#32;&#43;&#32;&#116;&#41;&#32;&#89;&#95;&#123;&#116;&#47;&#32;&#40;&#49;&#32;&#43;&#32;&#116;&#41;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"22\" width=\"153\" style=\"vertical-align: -8px;\"\/> then <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-d0e4b7ea30fe6673a3dbc48918c66fd4_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#123;&#32;&#88;&#95;&#116;&#32;&#92;&#125;&#95;&#123;&#116;&#32;&#92;&#103;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#48;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"60\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> is a Brownian motion.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/xcyiuyehm1rfqocrh2wsw\/bmbbridge.png?rlkey=nsfcs7uk4ute04hbfpv18nwne&amp;st=lqacej8f&amp;raw=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Brownian motion (BM) \u2014 where it shows up<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Physics &amp; PDEs:<\/strong> Diffusion of particles; probabilistic solution of the heat equation; harmonic measure &amp; potential theory.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Finance:<\/strong> Geometric BM for asset prices; correlated BMs in stochastic volatility (e.g., Heston); <strong>first-passage<\/strong> ideas for default\/credit models; Monte Carlo pricing.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Statistics &amp; sequential analysis:<\/strong> Likelihood-ratio tests\/SPRT; drift-diffusion models for decision making; estimation of diffusion parameters; functional CLT (random walk \u21d2 BM).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Machine learning &amp; MCMC:<\/strong> Langevin Monte Carlo; score-based\/diffusion generative models (continuous-time SDE viewpoint).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Biology &amp; neuroscience:<\/strong> Wright\u2013Fisher diffusion (genetic drift); membrane-potential and evidence-accumulation models (first-passage times).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Queues, control, and signals:<\/strong> Heavy-traffic limits (Reflected BM); Kalman\u2013Bucy filtering (continuous time); integrated white noise as a model for 1\/f21\/f^21\/f2-like signals.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Brownian bridge (BB) \u2014 why it\u2019s special<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A BB is BM on [0,1]<strong>conditioned to be 0 at t=1<\/strong>: Yt=Bt\u2212tB1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Goodness-of-fit tests:<\/strong> The exact null distributions of <strong>Kolmogorov\u2013Smirnov<\/strong>, <strong>Cram\u00e9r\u2013von Mises<\/strong>, and <strong>Anderson\u2013Darling<\/strong> statistics are functionals of a BB.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Empirical process theory:<\/strong> Donsker\u2019s theorem \u21d2 centered empirical CDF processes converge to a BB; yields asymptotic CIs\/bands for distribution functions and QQ-plots.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Conditioned path sampling:<\/strong> \u201cDiffusion bridges\u201d in Bayesian inference, particle filters, and SDE calibration when you <strong>know endpoints<\/strong> (e.g., smoothing between observations).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Finance (variance reduction):<\/strong> <strong>Brownian-bridge corrections<\/strong> in Monte Carlo for barrier options: between time steps, condition on endpoints to estimate barrier crossings and cut bias\/variance.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Boundary crossing &amp; change-point:<\/strong> Many suprema\/infima of centered cumulative sums have BB limits, giving p-values and thresholds for change-point and scan statistics.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Random geometry\/combinatorics:<\/strong> BB\/bridges underpin Brownian excursions, which connect to random trees (Aldous\u2019 CRT) and scaling limits in random maps.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Let <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-2187343752ce70731db79bb4fe7726d6_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#123;&#89;&#95;&#116;&#92;&#125;&#95;&#123;&#48;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#116;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#49;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"73\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> be a Brownian bridge and <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-69acbe817fb28d01f1a21ab2c9f42500_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#98;&#32;&#62;&#32;&#48;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"14\" width=\"40\" style=\"vertical-align: -2px;\"\/>. Then, <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>(a) the probability that <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-baa2c548781bc306a17c23c7ac90864a_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#89;&#95;&#116;&#32;&#92;&#103;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#98;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"48\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> for some <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-fd9cb27edab3f0a8a249bc80cc9c6ee2_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#116;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"12\" width=\"6\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/>, which is the same that probability that <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-dce6d05082a8c7241bf92be958d25ab3_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#89;&#95;&#116;&#32;&#61;&#32;&#98;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"48\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> for some <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-fd9cb27edab3f0a8a249bc80cc9c6ee2_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#116;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"12\" width=\"6\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/> by sample continuity and the <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Intermediate_value_theorem\">intermediate value theorem<\/a>, equals <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-88295d5811a59e0b5330fa06b9f8d40a_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#101;&#120;&#112;&#40;&#45;&#50;&#98;&#94;&#50;&#41;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"20\" width=\"78\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/bw9oabg5xumsz6dg5huc5\/onesided.png?rlkey=iczgbjgp9nttzeku9h9xx0cuc&amp;st=9n080639&amp;raw=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>(b) the probability that <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-847fd956253a0f713a41343b87146c73_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#124;&#89;&#95;&#116;&#124;&#32;&#92;&#103;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#98;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"56\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> for some <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-fd9cb27edab3f0a8a249bc80cc9c6ee2_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#116;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"12\" width=\"6\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/>, which is the same as the probability that <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-b292df201e33b664d9a0b45b9c9d4dd4_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#124;&#89;&#95;&#116;&#124;&#32;&#61;&#32;&#98;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"56\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> for some <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-fd9cb27edab3f0a8a249bc80cc9c6ee2_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#116;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"12\" width=\"6\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/>, equals <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-1a2654c02a03f8927ea23010b806db3b_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#50;&#92;&#115;&#117;&#109;&#95;&#123;&#106;&#32;&#61;&#32;&#49;&#125;&#94;&#123;&#92;&#105;&#110;&#102;&#116;&#121;&#125;&#32;&#40;&#45;&#49;&#41;&#94;&#123;&#106;&#32;&#45;&#32;&#49;&#125;&#101;&#120;&#112;&#40;&#45;&#50;&#106;&#94;&#50;&#98;&#94;&#50;&#41;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"23\" width=\"211\" style=\"vertical-align: -8px;\"\/>. The series converges quite fast except for small b. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/bvqiqkyg17a9f6a3r0s2g\/twosided.png?rlkey=9hubv6pgbtlnxzxzbkyemhr6n&amp;st=yut7dciy&amp;raw=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>For a Brownian motion <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-f226acc0f6ff1cb43ef99e93e95519f2_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#123;&#88;&#95;&#116;&#92;&#125;&#95;&#123;&#116;&#32;&#92;&#103;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#48;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"60\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> and two real numbers <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-0e55b0b3943237ccfc96979505679274_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#97;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"8\" width=\"9\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/> and <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-ad69adf868bc701e561aa555db995f1f_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#98;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"12\" width=\"8\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/>, let <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-2d0f4e922bf6aa03f0b4a3128b5a72d5_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"8\" width=\"10\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/> be the least time <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-fd9cb27edab3f0a8a249bc80cc9c6ee2_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#116;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"12\" width=\"6\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/> such that <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-936bf7a2e52f54577100b0df2ecaf761_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#88;&#95;&#116;&#32;&#61;&#32;&#97;&#116;&#32;&#43;&#32;&#98;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"90\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/>, if such a <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-fd9cb27edab3f0a8a249bc80cc9c6ee2_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#116;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"12\" width=\"6\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/> exists, or <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-7d024847687df5ed74470976a0770de7_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#43;&#92;&#105;&#110;&#102;&#116;&#121;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"13\" width=\"31\" style=\"vertical-align: -2px;\"\/> otherwise. Then <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-2d0f4e922bf6aa03f0b4a3128b5a72d5_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"8\" width=\"10\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/> is a Markov time. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>(a) If <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-f987a8be690f54f67e8b3fa00871b3f7_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#98;&#32;&#61;&#32;&#48;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"12\" width=\"40\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/> then <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-2171efe1e563ff8943adabb8b13fb826_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;&#32;&#92;&#101;&#113;&#117;&#105;&#118;&#32;&#48;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"12\" width=\"42\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/k3xbzkbxe6r0kczy1zjan\/a.png?rlkey=tg0o1p3qzpxughe6l5vrpuboa&amp;st=95n5qbxc&amp;raw=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>(b) If <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-dd9380d0772626049c4d868e625075c8_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#97;&#32;&#61;&#32;&#48;&#32;&#92;&#110;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#98;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"17\" width=\"74\" style=\"vertical-align: -4px;\"\/> then <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-3ab6fa76acd9b47f6e4ea141f862b77e_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#98;&#98;&#123;&#80;&#125;&#40;&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;&#32;&#60;&#32;&#92;&#105;&#110;&#102;&#116;&#121;&#32;&#41;&#32;&#61;&#32;&#49;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"107\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> but <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-c2a7e185285af1b3f610474e5ede14cc_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#98;&#98;&#123;&#69;&#125;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#102;&#116;&#91;&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;&#92;&#114;&#105;&#103;&#104;&#116;&#93;&#32;&#61;&#32;&#43;&#92;&#105;&#110;&#102;&#116;&#121;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"18\" width=\"89\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/>, otherwise we&#8217;d get a contradiction to the Wald identity <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-ce1899ce1842cb976d6b436fd1ff6afc_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#98;&#98;&#123;&#69;&#125;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#102;&#116;&#91;&#88;&#95;&#123;&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;&#125;&#92;&#114;&#105;&#103;&#104;&#116;&#93;&#32;&#61;&#32;&#48;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"18\" width=\"80\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/p6o20wjn92gv12l6uz3u9\/b.png?rlkey=8zic33jgt02dpgx0qy17eef2e&amp;st=efj6q80j&amp;raw=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>(c) If <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-7826a0ca68762a8cb811abb127cb5aee_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#97;&#98;&#32;&#60;&#32;&#48;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"14\" width=\"50\" style=\"vertical-align: -2px;\"\/> then <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-3ab6fa76acd9b47f6e4ea141f862b77e_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#98;&#98;&#123;&#80;&#125;&#40;&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;&#32;&#60;&#32;&#92;&#105;&#110;&#102;&#116;&#121;&#32;&#41;&#32;&#61;&#32;&#49;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"107\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> and <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-dd612b25e696b63decd2d39adb474538_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#98;&#98;&#123;&#69;&#125;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#102;&#116;&#91;&#88;&#95;&#123;&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;&#125;&#92;&#114;&#105;&#103;&#104;&#116;&#93;&#32;&#61;&#32;&#45;&#92;&#102;&#114;&#97;&#99;&#123;&#97;&#125;&#123;&#98;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"95\" style=\"vertical-align: -6px;\"\/>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/avbcu8ck45lclk3s4khh3\/c.png?rlkey=ghjjqnx48ff7xaqhhvpk5w9tl&amp;st=nl0vii6y&amp;raw=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>(d) If <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-6fb839f5c0f5923d10c1276992ba50b2_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#97;&#98;&#32;&#62;&#32;&#48;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"14\" width=\"50\" style=\"vertical-align: -2px;\"\/> then <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-46bed30aa5a30693c1b8ef045292eaa7_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#48;&#32;&#60;&#32;&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#98;&#98;&#123;&#80;&#125;&#40;&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;&#32;&#60;&#32;&#92;&#105;&#110;&#102;&#116;&#121;&#41;&#32;&#61;&#32;&#101;&#94;&#123;&#45;&#50;&#97;&#98;&#125;&#32;&#60;&#32;&#49;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"20\" width=\"203\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/y8zq9ab5zxki5z1m10odh\/d.png?rlkey=ml4jfbid2a949n26w1yb06jhx&amp;st=i2sbuhm4&amp;raw=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Martingales<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Let <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-66d51401111c432a9be3b8c5d435ed2e_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#123;&#88;&#95;&#110;&#92;&#125;&#95;&#123;&#110;&#32;&#92;&#103;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#49;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"66\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> be a sequence of random variables. Let <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-a4589d20991b232c740190f10d20e02f_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#99;&#97;&#108;&#123;&#70;&#125;&#95;&#110;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"16\" width=\"21\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> be a collection of random variables such that <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-27112ecc11705bef5d5d752339ae0a71_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#99;&#97;&#108;&#123;&#70;&#125;&#95;&#109;&#32;&#92;&#115;&#117;&#98;&#115;&#101;&#116;&#32;&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#99;&#97;&#108;&#123;&#70;&#125;&#95;&#110;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"16\" width=\"70\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> for <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-b059e08ecbe70fae9b8893b6bf6be591_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#109;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#110;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"50\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> and <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-1b232315ba228bf1ea9aa8bc2c863507_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#88;&#95;&#110;&#32;&#92;&#105;&#110;&#32;&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#99;&#97;&#108;&#123;&#70;&#125;&#95;&#110;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"16\" width=\"67\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> for each <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-ec4217f4fa5fcd92a9edceba0e708cf7_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#110;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"8\" width=\"11\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/>. Then, <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-30e2093205dfea6f9010ba23d63f8424_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#123;&#88;&#95;&#110;&#92;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"40\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> is called a <em>martingale sequence <\/em>if whenever <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-c0b517fbb581cab0e1fe8e65fdd3ddb9_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#109;&#32;&#60;&#32;&#110;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"12\" width=\"50\" style=\"vertical-align: -2px;\"\/>, <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-36ffdd7a00dab89ad7ec459a82e01d38_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#88;&#95;&#109;&#32;&#61;&#32;&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#98;&#98;&#123;&#69;&#125;&#40;&#88;&#95;&#110;&#32;&#124;&#32;&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#99;&#97;&#108;&#123;&#70;&#125;&#95;&#109;&#41;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"131\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/>, or a <em>submartingale sequence <\/em>if <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-34aa118c10cb31ba71e81b77b4f99e98_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#88;&#95;&#109;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#98;&#98;&#123;&#69;&#125;&#40;&#88;&#95;&#110;&#32;&#124;&#32;&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#99;&#97;&#108;&#123;&#70;&#125;&#95;&#109;&#41;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"131\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/>, or a <em>supermartingale sequence <\/em>if <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-2f8f2fe30d414b987b14135cf080b4e2_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#88;&#95;&#109;&#32;&#92;&#103;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#98;&#98;&#123;&#69;&#125;&#40;&#88;&#95;&#110;&#32;&#124;&#32;&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#99;&#97;&#108;&#123;&#70;&#125;&#95;&#109;&#41;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"131\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/t3eomlscy81ggyogcw3yt\/martingale.png?rlkey=52bzwnx19t8hz59b37n2canxa&amp;st=9mhjbhvt&amp;raw=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/5xbnjj1pvooduwkwr4b2x\/submartingale.png?rlkey=mba2hdm9y6mkxcfaeh2ft6urx&amp;st=yij1j4il&amp;raw=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/5iie43wcrqezh3q6ps8cu\/supermartingale.png?rlkey=e4jweoiz3tpqmygf96o6h8819&amp;st=c0u3pjje&amp;raw=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>To make the collection <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-a4589d20991b232c740190f10d20e02f_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#99;&#97;&#108;&#123;&#70;&#125;&#95;&#110;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"16\" width=\"21\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> as small as possible one can and often will take <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-afdc775f516f8311e0c6896c81880bba_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#99;&#97;&#108;&#123;&#70;&#125;&#95;&#110;&#32;&#61;&#32;&#92;&#123;&#88;&#95;&#49;&#44;&#32;&#88;&#95;&#50;&#44;&#32;&#92;&#100;&#111;&#116;&#115;&#44;&#32;&#88;&#95;&#110;&#92;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"178\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A <em>stopping time <\/em>for a martingale (or sub- or supermartingale) sequence is a positive integer-valued random variable <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-2d0f4e922bf6aa03f0b4a3128b5a72d5_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"8\" width=\"10\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/> such that for each <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-17f4f4cd647da22a8ff556e034084277_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#110;&#32;&#61;&#32;&#49;&#44;&#32;&#50;&#44;&#32;&#92;&#100;&#111;&#116;&#115;&#44;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"16\" width=\"95\" style=\"vertical-align: -4px;\"\/> the event <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-746bce143421b09951c8f9fcc720bb6b_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#123;&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#110;&#92;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"60\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> is a function of the variables in <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-f81c76ba72854a97e085206ca81d5c8a_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#99;&#97;&#108;&#123;&#70;&#125;&#95;&#123;&#110;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"16\" width=\"21\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/73vhlsmo5d6in0ja8ifdb\/stoppingtime.png?rlkey=ho2t4opd0eerp9qhz9bl3upii&amp;st=farj8i5f&amp;raw=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Optional stopping<\/em>. Let <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-66d51401111c432a9be3b8c5d435ed2e_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#123;&#88;&#95;&#110;&#92;&#125;&#95;&#123;&#110;&#32;&#92;&#103;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#49;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"66\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> be a martingale sequence for <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-5e9d3a3ad8ec30c83166f4141668997b_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#99;&#97;&#108;&#123;&#70;&#125;&#95;&#123;&#110;&#125;&#32;&#61;&#32;&#92;&#123;&#88;&#95;&#49;&#44;&#32;&#92;&#100;&#111;&#116;&#115;&#44;&#32;&#88;&#95;&#110;&#32;&#92;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"148\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/>. Let <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-f1df7e3d514c523a605b52bcdec504df_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#78;&#32;&#60;&#32;&#92;&#105;&#110;&#102;&#116;&#121;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"14\" width=\"57\" style=\"vertical-align: -2px;\"\/> and let <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-eaaf379fee5e67946f3fedf5631047b1_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#115;&#105;&#103;&#109;&#97;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"8\" width=\"11\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/> and <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-2d0f4e922bf6aa03f0b4a3128b5a72d5_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"8\" width=\"10\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/> be two stopping times for <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-7e60df53105cdaf67a352c9fd22d8998_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#123;&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#99;&#97;&#108;&#123;&#70;&#125;&#95;&#110;&#92;&#125;&#95;&#123;&#110;&#32;&#92;&#103;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#49;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"64\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> such that <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-5e785fee8ba5ce77b7e6d6696af59f0b_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#115;&#105;&#103;&#109;&#97;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#78;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"84\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> with probability 1. Then <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-60f641fc344866a0557f8b1a626b56c6_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#98;&#98;&#123;&#69;&#125;&#40;&#88;&#95;&#123;&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;&#125;&#32;&#124;&#32;&#88;&#95;&#106;&#32;&#44;&#32;&#106;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#92;&#115;&#105;&#103;&#109;&#97;&#41;&#32;&#61;&#32;&#88;&#95;&#123;&#92;&#115;&#105;&#103;&#109;&#97;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"20\" width=\"173\" style=\"vertical-align: -6px;\"\/>. For a submartingale or supermartingale, the equality is replaced by <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-b33c8ddd3c6d4d4cdfcb0c334cb22aa6_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#103;&#101;&#113;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"12\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> or <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-6b1bafdb4cc9099d816ba3c561f9de94_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"12\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> respectively. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Doob&#8217;s maximal inequality. <\/em>Let <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-57b37bf2949df8b100de018c08996a95_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#123;&#88;&#95;&#106;&#92;&#125;&#95;&#123;&#106;&#32;&#92;&#103;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#49;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"20\" width=\"62\" style=\"vertical-align: -6px;\"\/> be a submartingale sequence, let <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-639292a0154cd8efeba853fdade0673a_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#77;&#32;&#62;&#32;&#48;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"14\" width=\"52\" style=\"vertical-align: -2px;\"\/>, and let <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-66b73d710ca517cf158f95dd8a0542ed_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#65;&#40;&#77;&#44;&#32;&#110;&#41;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"63\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> be the event <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-ea79542082a79e3c38ca04faf19fe489_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#123;&#109;&#97;&#120;&#95;&#123;&#49;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#106;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#110;&#125;&#32;&#88;&#95;&#106;&#32;&#92;&#103;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#77;&#32;&#92;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"20\" width=\"159\" style=\"vertical-align: -6px;\"\/>. Then <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><p class=\"ql-center-displayed-equation\" style=\"line-height: 21px;\"><span class=\"ql-right-eqno\"> &nbsp; <\/span><span class=\"ql-left-eqno\"> &nbsp; <\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-e037eaa44a820c866f63db2c0ee27feb_l3.png\" height=\"21\" width=\"377\" class=\"ql-img-displayed-equation quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#91;&#77;&#80;&#40;&#65;&#40;&#77;&#44;&#32;&#110;&#41;&#41;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#98;&#98;&#123;&#69;&#125;&#40;&#88;&#95;&#110;&#32;&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#100;&#115;&#123;&#49;&#125;&#95;&#123;&#65;&#40;&#77;&#44;&#32;&#110;&#41;&#125;&#41;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#98;&#98;&#123;&#69;&#125;&#40;&#92;&#109;&#97;&#120;&#40;&#88;&#95;&#110;&#44;&#32;&#48;&#41;&#41;&#92;&#93;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\"\/><\/p> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/bpyklyn5y1y2bpnywkw2k\/doobineq.png?rlkey=ad3lwid93my6gzzm5emhefbjr&amp;st=xikqvosq&amp;raw=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Let <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-d4ef5d2ca036fb7c01cdfb06008d99e0_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#88;&#95;&#110;&#32;&#92;&#103;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#48;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"56\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> for all <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-ec4217f4fa5fcd92a9edceba0e708cf7_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#110;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"8\" width=\"11\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"\/> and suppose <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-19524a2a3c6a916033fe0af60edd4f1b_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#123;&#88;&#95;&#110;&#32;&#92;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"40\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/> form a supermartingale with respect to <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-42ae34485a62ad84908a77bb03d0e5ea_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#99;&#97;&#108;&#123;&#70;&#125;&#95;&#110;&#32;&#61;&#32;&#92;&#123;&#88;&#95;&#49;&#44;&#32;&#92;&#100;&#111;&#116;&#115;&#44;&#32;&#88;&#95;&#110;&#92;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"148\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/>. Let <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-7786772952b66b19d4bc02ff356ec1b6_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#115;&#105;&#103;&#109;&#97;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#43;&#92;&#105;&#110;&#102;&#116;&#121;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"15\" width=\"99\" style=\"vertical-align: -3px;\"\/> be stopping times for <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-19524a2a3c6a916033fe0af60edd4f1b_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#123;&#88;&#95;&#110;&#32;&#92;&#125;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"40\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"\/>. Then <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><p class=\"ql-center-displayed-equation\" style=\"line-height: 19px;\"><span class=\"ql-right-eqno\"> &nbsp; <\/span><span class=\"ql-left-eqno\"> &nbsp; <\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-5c55f6a94174346939b6bd3fa08ab982_l3.png\" height=\"19\" width=\"227\" class=\"ql-img-displayed-equation quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#91;&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#98;&#98;&#123;&#69;&#125;&#40;&#88;&#95;&#123;&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;&#125;&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#100;&#115;&#123;&#49;&#125;&#95;&#123;&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;&#32;&#60;&#32;&#92;&#105;&#110;&#102;&#116;&#121;&#125;&#32;&#124;&#32;&#106;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#92;&#115;&#105;&#103;&#109;&#97;&#41;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#88;&#95;&#123;&#92;&#115;&#105;&#103;&#109;&#97;&#125;&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#100;&#115;&#123;&#49;&#125;&#95;&#123;&#92;&#115;&#105;&#103;&#109;&#97;&#32;&#60;&#32;&#92;&#105;&#110;&#102;&#116;&#121;&#125;&#92;&#93;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\"\/><\/p>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Taking expectations of both sides gives<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><p class=\"ql-center-displayed-equation\" style=\"line-height: 19px;\"><span class=\"ql-right-eqno\"> &nbsp; <\/span><span class=\"ql-left-eqno\"> &nbsp; <\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-2de5d42c80a3760f7ce4269fad139bf9_l3.png\" height=\"19\" width=\"210\" class=\"ql-img-displayed-equation quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"&#92;&#91;&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#98;&#98;&#123;&#69;&#125;&#40;&#88;&#95;&#123;&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;&#125;&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#100;&#115;&#123;&#49;&#125;&#95;&#123;&#92;&#116;&#97;&#117;&#32;&#60;&#32;&#92;&#105;&#110;&#102;&#116;&#121;&#125;&#41;&#32;&#92;&#108;&#101;&#113;&#32;&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#98;&#98;&#123;&#69;&#125;&#40;&#88;&#95;&#123;&#92;&#115;&#105;&#103;&#109;&#97;&#125;&#92;&#109;&#97;&#116;&#104;&#100;&#115;&#123;&#49;&#125;&#95;&#123;&#92;&#115;&#105;&#103;&#109;&#97;&#32;&#60;&#32;&#92;&#105;&#110;&#102;&#116;&#121;&#125;&#41;&#46;&#92;&#93;\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\"\/><\/p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is an integration of notes from Stochastic Processes with AI. Pretty impressive.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Brownian motion Brownian motion is defined as a stochastic process which is Gaussian, i.e. such that for any , for have a jointly Gaussian (normal distribution), for all , and the covariance is for all . A normal distribution is uniquely determined by its mean vector and covariance matrix . Each has a normal distribution [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-328","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/328","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=328"}],"version-history":[{"count":59,"href":"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/328\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":397,"href":"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/328\/revisions\/397"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=328"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=328"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mrivas.su.domains\/gbe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=328"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}